Marketpolygraph

 
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Active Trader
 
ACTIVE TRADER

For those investors whose interests (and portfolios) have broadened to include active trading strategies aimed at realizing accelerated capital gains through the exploit of the market’s intraday price movements, Marketpolygraph has the solution designed to tap into this vast potential.

Unlike the familiar buy-and-hold strategy, momentary effects of daily price fluctuations are far too important to be ignored given that short-term movements of liquid equities can in fact be predicted with astonishing accuracy—and astonishing clarity. Furthermore, unlike other research services, Marketpolygraph goes well beyond the existing research service paradigm by solely backing up its predictive capability with weekly profit performance benchmarks and updates as outlined below. It is now possible to take control of your active trading results!

Altered Expectations
Consider the following implications of Marketpolygraph’s intraday service for equities from both a time and dollar-cost perspective:
  • Immediately partake in a new paradigm that enables investors to realize their dream of being both “under-worked and over-paid.” Indeed, investor independence is delivered one trading signal at a time.
  • Immediately suspend all learning-related activities pertaining to complex (and often contradictory) trading tools and techniques, specialized seminar courses or tutorials, and/or extensive independent readings.
  • Immediately suspend all management-related activities pertaining to the continued vigilance of industry/company headlines and analyst and/or annual reports.
  • Immediately suspend all stress-related emotions pertaining to the noble attempt to out-think the market every single day—especially the intraday market.

Basic Requirements
Regardless of the specific equity to be traded or the market’s given intraday behavior, only a few simple ingredients for success within a typical six-hour trading session are required:

A Conventional Familiarity with Executing Trades Although an incredibly routine requirement, Marketpolygraph will nevertheless ensure that all signals are realistic; the research service does not chase intraday price spikes.

An Ability to Maintain Unimpeded Access to the Research The service is specifically targeted towards those full-time private investors who are available to log on prior to the open of each session (i.e. prior to 9:30AM EST) and who are also able to keep fully abreast of the research during each and every trading session over the long run.

A Capacity to Trade in Blocks of 1000 Shares The price range of the traded U.S. equity typically falls within the $20-$55 USD range. Please note that performance outcomes (as outlined in Figure 1 below) are based on profits realized from trading blocks of 1000 shares.

A General Familiarity with PayPal Fulfillment notifications will be delivered towards the end of each week by e-mail prior to the close of the session in order to ensure continued investor eligibility for the following week’s signals.

No Subscription Fees of Any Kind
Only performance matters. As a result, the standard weekly/monthly subscription fee has been replaced by a straightforward profit sharing schedule between the private investor and Marketpolygraph. Furthermore, our commitment to exceptional intraday market timing means that Marketpolygraph Active Trader must adhere to a minimum level of weekly performance in order for profit sharing to take effect. As can be seen in Figure 1 below, if Marketpolygraph’s $600 USD weekly revenue baseline is ever missed, then all trading profits for that given week are to be kept without qualification by each participating active trader.
 
Figure 1: Schedule of Investor Profit Outcomes

Also consider the case of $1400 USD in weekly trading revenues as identified in Figure 1 above: the resultant outcome associated with this weekly threshold would total $1000 in trading profits. To complete the example: if weekly Marketpolygraph trading revenue fell just shy of the next threshold of $1600, for example to $1590, weekly trading profits would then total $1190—an additional $190 to be realized by the active trader! Please note that Marketpolygraph's Active Trader service continues to comfortably exceed its weekly revenue baseline (see below). It's also important to note that Marketpolygraph's Active Trader revenue thresholds are stated in $USD, but payments either by PayPal or credit card are always fulfilled in Canadian ($CAD) Dollars.


Performance: Latest vs YTD vs Historical Data
Since the inception of our Active Trader research in April 2007, Marketpolygraph’s performance statistics simply speak for themselves:

Active Trader Performance
  Closed Trades Accuracy Rate Total Revenue Intraweek ROI
Last Week's Trading (05-May-08)
1000 Shares 9 77.78% $1,700 3.09%
  Year to Date
1000 Shares 168 69.98% $34,100 82.17%
  Historical Performance
2007* 398 73.34% 130.77% 202.72%
  Historical Parameters
Min 6 61.54% $600** 0.89%**
Max 17 83.33% $5,600 13.54%

Become an Active Trader
To be considered for the service, simply send an e-mail to active@marketpolygraph.com outlining your trading history and experience with your intraday research provider and/or your suitability to engage in the task at hand. By sending an e-mail to this address, you have read and agreed with all of the Terms and Conditions of Service. Submissions are on a first-come first-serve basis, and only those deemed satisfactory will be added to Marketpolygraph’s circulation list. Notification by e-mail will typically occur within 2 to 3 business days of receipt, including instructions allowing you access to the real-time research signals.

Please note that in the interest of maintaining optimal tradability of Marketpolygraph’s intraday signals, the Active Trader circulation list will be open to a limited number of private investors. In the interim, suitable prospective participants will be notified of the next available opening relative to the their position in the Active Trader waiting list.

 

*As stated above, Active Trader was launched on April 2, 2007. Also please note that annual gross revenue has been replaced by (bolded) net ROI in order to contrast private investor and Marketpolygraph annual returns.

**Realized during a shortened, four-day trading week.

 
 
Buy-and-Hold?

"'The average size of a stock trade on an exchange fell from close to 1,500 shares per trade a decade ago, to just 250 today. That trend developed at the same time hedge funds and institutional investors found it profitable to make riskier, more leveraged bets at faster speeds.'"
 
Robert Iati
Partner, The Tabb Group
Reuters.com
April 21, 2008

 

"'What's very different about today is the demographics of order flow...A lot of today's market participants were not around five, 10, 15 years ago when they're looking at the previous downturns. They are huge providers of volume on a daily basis, who I don't think really care whether it's a bull market or a bear market because they're short-term investors.'"
 
Duncan Niederauer
CEO, NYSE Euronext
Nightly Business Report |PBS
April 09, 2008

 

"'Speculation comes in and destroys trends...It accelerates the trend. It gets you closer to the truth faster.'"
 
Jim Simons
President, Renaissance Technologies Corp.
HedgeWorld.com
May 23, 2007

 

"'We are seeing a permanent shift in the nature of order flow as new, higher velocity electronic (algorithmic/black box) trading strategies are increasingly deployed by hedge funds, intermediaries and specialist technical trading firms.'"
 
Clara Furse
CEO, London Stock Exchange
ComputerworldUK.com
May 16, 2007

 

"Executing complex strategies based on arcane mathematical formulas, algorithmic trading systems generate thousands of buy and sell orders every second, many of which are canceled and overridden by subsequent orders, sometimes only a few seconds apart. The goal of these computer traders is to profit from minute, fleeting price anomalies..."
 
Richard Martin
InformationWeek.com
April 23, 2007

 

"Of the 40 million buy or sell orders placed daily on the NYSE, some 80% are cancelled before execution. Many are computer-generated algorithmic trades which are placed in the hope of a sudden, tiny price movement sufficient to make a quick buck."
 
Andrew Clark
Business.Guardian.co.uk
October 9, 2006

 

"Led by Goldman, many investment banks now do more trading than all but the biggest hedge funds...They've produced record earnings and boosted asset bases to unheard of sizes, making even bigger bets possible. Although the scale of trading activity has soared, risk now accounts for about the same percentage of brokers' total equity as it did in the 1990s…"
 
Emily Thornton
BusinessWeek.com
June 12, 2006
 
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